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[private]Event: Texas at Texas A&M on Saturday, Feb. 27 at 2 p.m. ET
Pick: Texas A&M

Reason: This is the Lone Star Showdown, a rivalry game, so the home crowd will be into this one to try and knock off No. 21 Texas. Texas A&M has a dynamite backcourt that matches up well against the Longhorns, led by Don Sloan (18 ppg). The Aggies have been undervalued all season and continue to be, riding a 5-2 SU, 7-0 ATS run. These teams have split the last five years with each winning on their own home court. A&M is 13-1 in home games and the only loss was to Kansas, leading with three minutes to play. Texas is just 5-4 in true road games, and is slumping, on a 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS run. In fact, they have been huge money burners, on a 3-11 ATS run. The problem is defense, giving up 80 or more points in six of the last 10 games. The Aggies are 29-3 SU at home the last two seasons, plus 14-5 SU in their last 19 Big 12 games (only mighty Kansas has a better record). A&M has played nine nationally ranked teams this year and they come home after a two-game road trip. While Texas has struggled defensively the last 10 games, in Big 12 play, A&M has had held its opponents to an average of 8.6 points under their respective scoring averages. Only Kansas State and Oklahoma State have exceeded their averages against the Aggies. Overall, A&M ranks second in the Big 12 in scoring defense (67.6) in conference play. A&M held top-ranked Kansas to just 59 points, the first time the Jayhawks have failed to score at least 72 in league play this season. I see a huge defensive effort against the rival Longhorns, and A&M is 16-1 this season when its opponents score fewer than 70 points. A great spot for the fired up home crowd and home team. Play Texas A&M.[/private]